AGGREGATE IMPLICATIONS OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE CONFERENCE

APRIL 21-22, 2017

12:00p-1:00p	Lunch
Session 1: Life-Cycle Choices and Public Policy
1:00p-2:00p	Ayse Imrohoroglu USC Marshall The Chinese Saving Rate: Long-Term Care Risks, Family Insurance, and Demographics (with Kai Zhao)
2:00p-2:10p	Break
2:10p-3:10p	Aspen Gorry Utah State University Male Labor Supply and Generational Fiscal Policy (with Christian vom Lehn and Eric O'N. Fisher)
3:10p-3:20p	Break
3:20p-4:20p	Ellen McGrattan University of Minnesota An Aggregate Model for Policy Analysis with Demographic Change (with Edward C. Prescott)
4:20p-4:30p	Break
4:30p-5:30p	Fang Yang Louisiana State University The Aggregate Implications of Gender and Marriage (with Margherita Borella and Mariacristina De Nardi)

9:00a-9:30a	Continental Breakfast
Session 2: Productivity Growth
9:30a-10:30a	Jim MacGee Western Ontario University Structural Change, Demographics and the Labor Market (with Simona Cociuba)
10:30a-10:40a	Break
10:40a-11:40a	Aysegul Sahin Federal Reserve Bank of New York Demographic Origins of the Startup Deficit (with Fatih Karahan and Ben Pugsley)
11:40a-11:50a	Break
11:50p-12:50p	Bart Hobijn Arizona State University The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth (with Canyon Bosler, Mary Daly, and John Fernald)
12:50p-2:00p	Lunch
Session 3: Short-Run Transmission Mechanisms
2:00p-3:00p	Domenico Ferraro Arizona State University The Aging of the Baby Boomers: Demographics and Propagation of Tax Shocks (with Giuseppe Fiori)
3:00p-3:10p	Break
3:10p-4:10p	Arlene Wong Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis & Princeton University Transmission of Monetary Policy to Consumption and Population Aging
4:10p-4:20p	Break
4:20p-5:20p	Carlos Carvalho Deputy Governor for Economic Policy at Central Bank of Brazil and PUC-Rio What Explains Japan's Persistent Deflation? (with Andrea Ferrero)